“How much would it cost to buy all the properties in Guildford?”
This fascinating question was posed by the 11-year-old son of one of my Guildford landlords when they both popped into my offices before the Christmas break (doesn’t that seem an age away now!). I thought to myself, that over the Christmas break, I would sit down and calculate what the total value of all the properties in Guildford are worth … and just for fun, work out how much they have gone up in value since his son was born back in the autumn of 2005.
In the last 11 years, since the autumn of 2005, the total value of Guildford property has increased by 70% or £6.04 billion to a total of £14.67 billion. Interesting, when you consider the FTSE100 has only risen by 30.78% and inflation (i.e. the UK Retail Price Index) rose by 37% during the same 11 years.
When I delved deeper into the numbers, the average price currently being paid by Guildford households stands at £490,163.… but you know me, I wasn’t going to stop there, so I split the property market down into individual property types in Guildford; the average numbers come out like this ..
|Guildford Property Market|
|Average Value of a Detached Property||Average Value of a Semi-Detached Property||Average Value of a Terraced/Town House Property||Average Value of an Apartment|
… yet it got even more fascinating when I multiplied the total number of each type of property by the average value. As detached houses are so expensive, when you compare them with the much cheaper terraced/town houses and apartments, you can quite clearly see how valuable detached properties are in terms of total pound note value, when compared to the value of the terraced/town houses and apartments.
|Total Value of all the Guildford Detached Properties||Total Value of all the Guildford Semi-Detached Properties||Total Value of all the Guildford Terraced/Town House Properties||Total Value of all the Guildford Apartments|
So, what does this all mean for Guildford? Well as we enter the unchartered waters of 2017 and beyond, even though property values are already declining in certain parts of the previously over cooked Central London property market, the outlook in Guildford remains relatively good as over the last five years, the local property market was a lot more sensible than central London’s.
Guildford house values will remain resilient for several reasons. Firstly, demand for rental property remains strong with continued immigration and population growth. Secondly, with 0.25 per cent interest rates, borrowing has never been so cheap and finally the simple lack of new house building in Guildford not keeping up with current demand, let alone eating into years and years of under investment – means only one thing – yes it might be a bumpy ride over the next 12 to 24 months but, in the medium term, property ownership and property investment in Guildford has always, and will always, ride out the storm.
In the coming weeks, I will look in greater detail at my thoughts for the 2017 Guildford Property Market. As always, all my articles can be found at the Guildford Property Journal http://guildfordpropertyjournal.co.uk/